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| Knowing me, knowing you
... AHA! 20 October 2020 |
It is still quite normal to say that men are from Mars and that women are from Venus. It seems to be common sense to many people. It is also based on various studies done over the years which seemed to show differences in the way things were looked at and thought about as between the sexes. This remains the abiding impression even though a metastudy was carried out some years ago which puts a different perspective on the situation. It turns out that although there are differences, they are very small compared to the variation which already exists within each of the genders. Indeed, rather than men being from Mars and women from Venus, it would be nearer the truth to say that men are from Chipping Norton and women are from Chipping Campden, the difference is so small...(continue) | |||
| Conjectures
and Refutations 14 October 2020 |
Having been reminded of Karl Popper and his influence on others, including George Soros, I decided to take another look at some of his writings which have been sitting in my bookcase for very many years. It’s been a long time since I first read, for instance ‘Objective Knowledge’ and ‘Conjectures & Refutations’, books which for me were quite eye-opening at the time. They showed me another way of looking at the world, one not dependent on religion or indeed received wisdom. However, what I would like to discuss mainly is the approach taken by Karl Popper as regards governance set against a little of the background to the development of his main philosophical ideas. Winston Churchill said that ‘democracy was the worst form of government - apart from all the others’. Popper arrives at a similar conclusion, but shows his workings. In order to see what he is saying, however, we need to go back to the whole idea of ‘conjectures and refutations’, or, more exactly ‘conjectures which can be refuted’...(continue) | |||
| The Open
Society 7 October 2020 |
Apocryphally or not, it is said that an obituary of Alfred Nobel which appeared in a newspaper in 1888 described him as a “Merchant of death”. The obituary had actually appeared in error as Mr Nobel was still very much alive. But he took warning about his reputation from this and founded the Nobel Institute in Stockholm to ensure that his name was not just associated with explosives and death. The Nobel prizes were intended to reward those who, during the preceding year, had “conferred the greatest benefit on mankind”. The peace prize was to be awarded to someone who had rendered “the greatest service to the cause of international fraternity, in the suppression or reduction of standing armies, or in the establishment or furtherance of peace congresses”. The latest recipient is due to be announced this Friday. I don’t have any inside knowledge as to who the recipient may be, but there has been quite a lot of discussion in advance of this event about past winners. Many are uncontroversial, at least now even if not at the time. Names such as Martin Luther King and Nelson Mandela come to mind. Others remain controversial...(continue) | |||
| WEIRD - Western,
educated, industrialized, rich and democratic 29 September 2020 |
It seems
that there is not only a physical effect to
intermarriage between close relatives. A new
book by Joseph Henrich, a Professor of Human
Evolutionary Biology at Harvard, shines a
light on the more widespread effects of the
rules about who you can marry and who you
can’t marry.
When
suggesting a new way of looking at things - and
wanting to sell a book - I suppose that having
an acronym can be quite useful. It tells the
reader that there is something different on the
way, something novel and so worthy of a new
‘word’. This essay will refer to the rules
around who was entitled to marry whom in the
middle ages. But such rules had their origin
long ago, possibly as a result of seeing the
unfortunate result of successive marriages
between close relatives - as the
Pharaohs found out when trying to preserve power
within the family. Consanguineous
marriages placed offspring at risk of nasty
deformities and early deaths....(continue)
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| An exchange
of views with my conservative MP regarding the
government's decision to flout the Rule of Law 24 September 2020 |
My
initial e-mail to Craig Tracey MP - 8 September 2020 I note that your colleague Brandon Lewis has now admitted to Parliament that the government’s proposed Brexit legislation will infringe International Law in a "specific and limited way". If a burglar were to say that he had only broken into one house rather than a number of them - so only infringing the Theft Act in a ‘specific and limited way’ - would that justify his conduct? I note that the permanent secretary to the Government Legal Department, Sir Jonathan Jones, has announced his resignation as a consequence of the government’s intention to ignore their legal obligations under international law. There is such a thing as the Rule of Law. It is currently being ignored in many countries around the world to the extreme detriment of the peoples of those countries. I had hoped that the United Kingdom would continue with its tradition of abiding by the Rule of Law in order to preserve our democracy...(continue) |
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| The Rule of
Law 16 September 2020 |
It may seem strange, but there is no
internationally agreed definition of the Rule
of Law. Of course, there are many
countries which have constitutions and so
abiding by these might seem to be fundamental
to abiding by the rule of law. But not
always. For example, although China has a
constitution, we do not normally think of it
as a country which abides by the Rule of Law.
The constitution itself excludes the exercise
of what we would regard as normal democratic
liberties. There is an absence of, for
example, the right to free speech, the right
to protest or the right to put yourself
forward as a candidate at an election without
the consent of the government. This would be
seen by most people as creating a system which
was far removed from the rule of law and so
turn it into its antithesis, a dictatorship...(continue)
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| Blessed are
the... 8 September 2020 |
Bill and Melinda Gates have for many years run a major charitable foundation into which, at the outset, they put $31 billion. Warren Buffet, the ‘Sage of Omaha’ and one of the richest men in the world is a trustee of the Gates Foundation and promised in 2006 to give 85% of his fortune to it. This will ultimately cost the American tax-payer the amount of estate duty which would otherwise have been payable had these vast amounts gone to their heirs. Since that promise, payments by Buffet have been made in annual tranches of $1.5 billion. They are though conditional upon Bill and Melinda Gates continuing to run the foundation. The secret of Mr Buffet’s incredible success as a professional investor is always to make his money work hard - and that requires good ideas and the best management you can get. The same principles apply to running charities. Obviously the Gates represent to Warren Buffet the best that’s available. Which is hard to argue with. And so this mega-foundation will ultimately have double its original worth. Currently it is worth in excess of $40 billion and is able to make grants of over $3 billion per year. This means that on its own it is able to tackle some of the biggest and most intractable problems the world has. As some measure of its importance, it now has the same disposable income as the World Health Organisation....(continue) | |||
| The New Season 3 September 2020 |
As far as the Met Office is concerned, it seems that Autumn has started. It began on 1st September. I can hardly believe it. Time passes. But despite the social distancing required to avoid Covid 19, the end of Summer and the beginning of Autumn has been accompanied by quite a lot of events involving quite a lot of people. The children have gone back to school, as witnessed by the line of their parents’ parked cars in our road at school closing time. We can now see and hear large orchestras and choirs at the Proms concerts, even if only because they have the whole of the otherwise empty Royal Albert Hall in which to spread themselves out. There is talk of some theatres reopening, but so far nothing significant has happened. On the other hand, over the week-end live and recorded music (all in the same key) was beamed down to the streets and bemused citizens of Bristol from loudspeakers attached to seven hot-air balloons floating in the relatively becalmed air over the city. It’s true that football matches have restarted, but are watched with only the echoing sound of recorded audience reaction - presumably both applause and boos at the same time from different ends...(continue) | |||
| Reflections
on the coming, politically correct, Spitting
Image 23 August 2020 |
 Because
of the somewhat baffling concept of wokeness, it
seems that things are far from straightforward in
the normally devil may care world of satire. We
learnt from the Times last week that the producers
of the new Spitting Image for ITV are worried
about certain aspects of the programme due to air
in the Autumn. They’ve already produced Spitting
Image puppets of people in the public eye, like
Prince Harry and his dear wife, and the probable
next President of the United States of America,
Kanye West. What they’re stuck on is whom
they ought pick to voice them and who should write
the scripts. You may think the answer is simple -
actors and scriptwriters respectively. But no...(continue) |
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| Morality – the downside | We
have often discussed the concept of morality.
Obviously for someone without a belief in a
supernatural authority but, instead, a 'belief'
that natural selection is the main factor in the
creation of our social code, it is possible to see
how morality can work unexpectedly. To function
well in our age, a social code depends on
encouragement from a combination of law and social
pressure. And as we can easily see, where the law
does not work very well and where social pressure
is not benign but actually malignant, local
morality can be a contradiction in terms - at
least for those who look at it from the outside. The pressure of your group can have very variable consequences. To be accepted, some groups require as part of their social code the commission of what would normally be considered immoral, or even illegal, actions. If I am in a disadvantaged area, I am likely to find that stealing cars or dealing drugs would be considered necessary behaviour if I wanted to be part of a gang. I'm expected to lie to the police for my friends...(continue) |
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| Coleshill
– waves and a Wall of Answered Prayers 5 August 2020 |
Land designated as Green belt in the
local plan cannot be developed. Except of
course when it can.
The planning laws say that it can be developed for outdoor leisure use, “where this preserves the openness of the Green Belt”. This though is just an example of the overriding possibility of approval where there are ‘Very Special Circumstances’ and ‘where the potential harm to the Green Belt is clearly outweighed by other considerations’. So then what does the future hold for us here in Coleshill?  Firstly there
is the idea of a Wave Park in what is roughly
the centre of England. It has just been
approved and will be constructed on a 15-acre
site on the other side of the M42 from
Coleshill. Features will include a 5.4-acre surf
lagoon with artificially generated waves, an
outdoor heated swimming pool (very carbon
friendly), a perimeter track for one wheel
self-balancing electric skateboards and a 1,600
sq metre hub building. The park, to be called
Emerge Surf Birmingham, will also be home to a
surf school, surf shop, café and restaurant, a
multi-purpose fitness studio, a physiotherapy
and massage room and a children’s play area. It
is said that it will be a haven for landlocked
surfers and those keen to try the sport for the
first time. For we residents, it will attract
more traffic, but I suppose that it will prevent
further expansion of urban Birmingham. So then
probably on balance a good thing. I shall have
to iron my wet suit ready for action.
Then there is Coleshill's answer to the Angel of the North - the 'Eternal Wall of Answered Prayer' - yes indeed!...(continue) |
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The carbon neutral essay 14 July 2020 |
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| The Tower of
Babel - its side effects 6 July 2020 |
...Creating
groups of people dispersed throughout the world,
however, who spoke different languages was not,
perhaps, an action that was destined to produce
a very peaceful world. It was a somewhat
short-sighted decision on God's part.
Differences between different groups of people
promote suspicion and therefore hostility. It is
perhaps a minor example but, many years ago, we
were on holiday in Wales, not far from where my
father was born. We went into a small shop.
People were speaking to each other in English,
but after they spotted our presence they changed
languages and continued in Welsh! I was very
offended.
My father spoke Welsh as a little child because it was the normal language in the small town of Llanelli in South West Wales. After a few years the family moved to Cardiff where the national language was almost extinct. It wasn't taught at school. So then after a few years my father became an English speaker and could no longer remember any of his Welsh. They say it's not easy to learn another language when you're older. There are many who believe that they are not capable of it, that they do not have the necessary ear. I suspect, however, that it is not only 'the ear' that they lack, but also the need for it and the willingness to deal with the grammar. The grammar of your own language is not a very popular subject at school. So spending even more time as an adult learning foreign grammar is perhaps not a very attractive prospect. Which means I'm probably a nerd...(continue) |
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| The danger
of slogans 29 June 2020 |
 Slogans are
part of our everyday lives. They enable an
important point to be made in a few words. In
2000, some bookshop owners found an old government
wartime poster asking the citizens to Keep Calm
and Carry On. They framed it and hung it their
shop, but it created such interest that they
started having copes printed. Now we have an
entire industry producing reproductions
of the slogan on mugs, tea towels, deck chairs,
T-shirts and anything else which can be printed
on. There have also been numerous derivatives,
from ‘Keep Calm and Drink Tea’ to ‘Keep Calm and
Marry Ron’. But the lack of words in a slogan can
also lead to a lack of clarity, rather like the
existing government slogan telling us to ‘Keep
Alert’. A slogan is a headline rather than a
fully argued statement. There is always a much
fuller message which the slogan is intended to sum
up. And so its success is judged by how well it
conveys the real message and at the same time how
memorable it is....(continue) |
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| Ecocide
– now to be made a crime, whatever it may be... 23 June 2020 |
In France at the moment there is a major attempt to shift opinion and the law itself in favour of environmentalism. It has come about because President Macron had to try to pacify the 'Gilets Jaunes' protest movement. He wanted to persuade them that he was giving power back to the people. And so for 9 months now, a group of 150 people, randomly chosen by the government, has been discussing during long weekends what their country should do in order to play its part in the struggle against global warming by reducing their CO2 emissions by 40%. 'The Citizens Convention for the Climate' has now come to a decision on lots of measures which they consider are necessary or desirable...(continue) | |||
| Money 16 June 2020 |
I
have in front of me a 50 Euro note. When you
draw money out of a French hole in the wall, you
are almost invariably given one of these.
Using it to buy anything is slightly embarrassing,
as the amount of change you will normally receive
will be significant. I wouldn’t usually
expect to buy anything at a price even close to
that amount with cash. Indeed, if you draw any
money from an English ATM, the biggest note you
will receive is £20. I’m not sure that I’ve
ever handled a £50 note and if I tried to use one
in a shop, I would be looked at with suspicion;
they have a reputation for being fakes and used
only by drug dealers. But what I was trying to do was to see what the 50 Euro note actually says. The information recorded on it is rather sparse. It says ‘50’ and ‘Euro’ and has its serial number. It also has the initials of the European Bank on it in 10 languages and the signature of Mario Draghi beneath the European flag. But nothing else. The £20 note has similar information on it, and with pictures of the Queen and of the artist Joseph Turner. But it also famously goes on to say: “I promise to pay the bearer on demand the sum of twenty pounds”...(continue) |
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| Prejudice - good or
bad? 7 June 2020 |
We
are continually told that prejudice is a bad
thing, but research has come to what should be an
unsurprising conclusion: that prejudice can in
fact confer an evolutionary advantage. Why else
would we have it as part of our psychological
make-up? And of course it exists not only in us as
humans, but also in the ‘lower’ orders. The
suggestion is that our benefit from and so
tendency towards prejudice may come from two
things - the constant need to make decisions about
the danger we face from others and the need to
know whether someone can be relied on to help you
when needed. If you feel that you belong to a
group, then it seems that you have a short-cut to
making those decisions, whether as a human, a
chimpanzee or a vampire bat. As members of a
group we have a tendency to favour other members,
for no other reason than that they are members of
our group. So then, if you are prejudiced in favour of people in your own group, you will also feel instinctively that the other members are similarly prejudiced towards you. And largely you will be right. This means in turn that the need to make assessments of reliability or danger will be simplified. Instead you can be reasonably sure that you will be able to trust each other. Trust facilitates co-operation and your group will benefit accordingly. Prejudice can be beneficial....(continue) |
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| Why we
believe what we want to believe: Part II - the
lingering influence of fake news 1 June 2020 |
A few weeks ago I wrote about the conspiracy theorists, those who make causal connections out of correlations. The research suggests that they are motivated to do this by the enhancement in their social standing amongst others in the conspiracy community when they find previously unknown links to ‘support’ a particular conspiracy theory. There are though many others who don’t engage in this sort of behaviour but who, nonetheless, believe things which have been shown to be untrue. Politicians rely on their ability to persuade such people in order to gain power. The brand leader for untruth amongst politicians used to be Hitler or Mussolini, but is, these days, Mr Trump. ‘Fake news” is Donald Trump’s favourite catchphrase. Since the election in 2016, it has appeared in some 180 tweets by the President...(continue) | |||
| A rather
rambling essay, but one which doesn’t mention
Cov.... 26 May 2020 |
When I was in secondary school, I developed an interest in chemistry. My brother and I had a chemistry set that we'd add to whenever we could. And it was pretty easy to do so, because at the time there weren't a lot of restrictive rules about what a shopkeeper could sell to two kids. It wouldn't be hard to imagine the kind of experiments we were interested in. Yes, those that produced an explosion. There were two main suppliers of the necessary chemicals in Smethwick: a garden shop on the Oldbury Road and the pharmacy on the opposite side of the road owned by Mr. Carr BSc, MRPS. For gunpowder you need sulphur and carbon as the fuel, and potassium nitrate to provide oxygen to accelerate combustion and thus, in a confined space, to cause an explosion...(continue) | |||
| Conspiracy
theories - why do people believe in them? 18 May 2020 |
The case of Carlill v the Carbolic Smoke Ball Company (1893) is well known to all law students in the UK and other common law jurisdictions. The Company said that its ‘smoke balls’ would provide protection against what we now know as the Russian flu. The smoke actually consisted of finely ground phenol powder of the type then used in soap as disinfectant. So now we know where Mr Trump got his idea from. The advertisement said that the smoke should be inhaled 3 times per day for two weeks. The smoke balls would last for two or three months and could then be refilled for the princely sum of 5 shillings. So not cheap. Fortunately though it all came with reassurance. If, after you had inhaled the vapours as prescribed, you actually caught the malady, then such was the Company’s confidence in its product that they would pay you £100 (equivalent to about £35,000 now). To reassure potential sniffers further, the Company said in its advertisement that they had deposited £1,000 in a bank to show their faith in their product. Mrs Elizabeth Carlill became ill, despite having inhaled the smoke for at least two weeks, and requested the promised compensation. The Company refused to pay, saying that it was only an advertisement and so not to be taken seriously...(continue) | |||
| Originals or
copies - which are better? 12 May 2020 |
In an article in the Times last week, there was a suggestion by leaders from the museum and art gallery world that reproductions of artistic masterpieces should be put on display while the originals are stored out of sight. It seems that with modern scanning and reproduction techniques, the imitations would only be distinguishable from the originals because they could be colour-corrected to show what they had been like when originally painted. No longer would they have to be displayed in semi-darkness in order to protect them from damaging light. No longer would they need to be behind shatter-proof glass to protect them from attack. So then the proposal would have the benefit of preserving the originals from further deterioration and the risk of theft and, at the same time, enabling the public to view those great works currently considered to be too fragile to be displayed or displayed as we would like to see them – in the light...(continue) | |||
| Change 3 May 2020 |
We were in Annecy and the world had just become a year older. I looked up at the mountains though and saw that nothing had changed since the last time I’d looked at them - in the previous year, the night before. Nothing changed in the millions of years before we started going there either. The sun still rose over the same mountains and set in the same place. They cast the same shadows. The lake remains an ever present feature in the valley lying at their foot. Of course that is not quite true. If we were to go back, say, 100,000 years, we would find the mountains to be very slightly taller and the shadows they cast to be slightly more jagged. But the change, the erosion of the mountains, takes place so slowly, that it is undetectable to the human eye. Other changes take place more obviously - such as the trees growing on the mountain-sides which change colour with the seasons...(continue) | |||
| I
may have many faults, but being wrong isn't one
of them 21 April 2020 |
Some time ago, we went to the dry cleaners in a town called Flers in Normandy. Having handed in the clothes to be cleaned, the lady at the counter naturally asked for our name. Heather gave it to her - Buckingham - and then, as the lady, unsurprisingly, looked uncertain, spelt it out in her best French accent. Everything was fine except that we could see that the first letter was a P and not a B. So we both pointed to it and said, in French, ‘no, the first letter is a B'. ‘Yes', she said, ‘a P'. ‘No', I said, ‘B as in...', and as my mind had gone blank and I couldn't think of anything simple, I said ‘Baignoire' (bath). ‘Yes', she said, ‘P as in Peignoir' (dressing gown). Her younger colleague, perhaps with better hearing, sitting a few metres away was muttering ‘no, its B, not P'. Eventually, by reference to Buckingham Palace and then actually writing the letter down, we managed to convey to her what letter it was. Clearly, though, she did not want to accept that we probably knew better how to spell our name than she did, and so carried on insisting that her spelling of it was in fact correct...(continue) | |||
| Privacy
and getting our lives back 14 April 2020 |
I
was pleased to hear from the Catholic church on
Easter Sunday that we should rely on Science,
inspired by the Holy Spirit, to beat the
coronavirus. It’s just a shame that the Holy
Spirit doesn’t reveal some hard facts on the
nature of the beast we’re trying to overcome.
After all, it is one of God’s creations, so the
Holy Spirit should have inside knowledge, unless
the members of the Trinity are maintaining social
distancing from each other. Such information would
help a lot, just as it would have helped with the
Spanish flue and the black death. However, with or
without the inspiration apparently on offer, we’re
going to have to try to find ways to restart our
lives and our economies as best we can. The
virus is not going to go away any time soon; it is
unlikely to commit suicide. Of course, there is an argument from evolutionary theory that we can expect it to mutate into something less virulent. The most successful, the most enduring parasites, don’t do too much harm to the host, but keep it as a long-term source of nourishment – rather like the tape-worm....(continue) |
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| Human
rights in a time of coronavirus 6 April 2020 |
To say that we live in unusual times is something of an understatement. We are under attack by a very large, mindless, molecule which, despite its ignorance of its own existence, is multiplying at an alarming rate and, in the process, doing considerable damage to us. The damage, however, is not only physical, but also political. Not only have we, at least temporarily, lost our Prime Minister, but he has been replaced by his deputy, the Karate Kid – the rabid right-winger Dominic Raab. Let’s hope that he doesn’t get to make any significant decisions. In fact, BoJ is looking like a safe pair of hands in contrast to the man now in charge. Maybe Matt Hancock and Rishi Sunak as health secretary and chancellor will carry on as before actually running the parts of government which count....(continue) | |||
| Coronavirus
– the financial effects 26 March 2020 |
It
seems that the Americans have now decided to sign
up to the idea of Universal Income, at least for
the time being. As part of the $1.8 trillion
stimulus package, $250 billion has been allocated
to enhanced unemployment benefit. In this country,
we have the government agreeing to pay 80% of
salaries of those not working as a result of
Coronavirus. We’re still waiting to find out
how much the government will pay the self-employed
during the time they cannot work. But we expect
that, in the short-term, the amount of financial
hardship which will result from the virus
close-down will be minimised. No-one should go
hungry and no-one should be thrown out of their
home as a result of inability to pay the mortgage
or the rent. We even have an extra 6 months in
which to take our cars for an MOT. But there have already been significant effects and there will undoubtedly be even more significant effects in the aftermath of all this. An immediate effect was that the stock-markets around the globe dropped precipitously, although following the announcement of the US aid package, the stock-markets have rebounded quite a lot....(continue) |
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| Covid
19 – who’s to blame? A look at some of the wilder ideas now circulating 19 March 2020 |
According to Isis, the reason that
the Covid virus is so widespread in Europe is
because of our immorality. God has
inflicted the virus upon us in order to punish
our wicked behaviour. In fact so much is
this the case, that the leaders of Isis have
told their followers to keep out of Europe and
let off their bombs elsewhere. Which, if
true, is something of a relief for us, if not
the other parts of the world affected.
Of course, since that statement was announced,
a few weeks ago now, the virus has become
prevalent in Iran and various other good
Muslim countries, so I’m not sure what’s
happening there. Maybe the Christian god has
decided to engage in reprisals against Allah
and his followers. It must be really confusing
in Israel for the various gods, bearing in
mind the mixture of Muslims, Jews and
Christians.
Others are not pointing to religion
as being at the root of all this. Many
are claiming that China has a covert bioweapon
establishment in Wuhan where the virus was
being developed in order to wipe out Western
capitalist civilisation. Something apparently
went wrong and the virus was accidentally
released amongst their own people, a mistake
they at first tried to cover up and then
claimed was a natural occurrence having its
origin in a market which sold the meat of wild
animals. Obviously a front for their high tech
laboratory....(continue)
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| Coronavirus -
a little local difficulty 3 March 2020 |
We
seem to have quite a number of difficulties at the
moment. There’s the flooding which has been
greater and more widespread than we’ve seen in the
past. There’s the apparent incompatibility between
the negotiating positions of the UK and the EU.
The dispute between Pretti Patel and her former
chief of staff has been such a major difficulty
that the anticipated arrival of the Prime
Minister’s new baby has been deployed in order to
deflect criticism from the Home Secretary. And of course, there’s the small matter of the coronavirus. This is nearer to home for me, at least, granted that we’ve decided to cancel our fortnight in Sicily as a consequence of its appearance on that Island (now 9 cases in different areas). The owner of ‘Il Giardino di Oliver’ has kindly agreed to let us, as old folk at greater risk of infection, postpone our trip to later in the year, although of course subject to payment of any price difference. That of course presumes that there will be flights available. Which is looking somewhat doubtful. I suppose we could always try to hitch a lift on a cruise liner - there are likely to be quite a lot of spare berths this year - although it might be best to wear a haz-mat suit at all times...(continue) |
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| The thought
police and secular morality 17 February 2020 |
It
seems that of the Labour candidates for the
leadership, the two female candidates have signed
up to a series of 10 declarations regarding the
trans community. The third, Sir Keir Starmer
QC has not, at least not yet. It may be a
relief to know that I don’t intend to look at all
10 declarations. But there is one of the
declarations which is more than somewhat
controversial. It says: ”I will
campaign for reform of the Gender Recognition
Act to introduce a self-declaration process and
for the introduction of legal recognition for
non-binary gender identities. I believe that
trans women are women, that trans men are men,
and that non-binary genders are valid and should
be respected.”.
Another version of this adds: “there is no
material conflict between trans rights and
women’s rights”.
Essentially what they are asking is that the law should accept that a person is of whatever gender they say they are for all purposes and that the belief that this is so should be a protected characteristic, just like, as we saw recently, the ‘philosophical belief’ of veganism. As always, however the assertion that something is so does not necessarily make it so. The word ’oversimplification’ comes to mind....(continue) |
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| Climate
change – the practicalities 12 February 2020 |
Although not
covered by the national press at the time, we
now know from the Sunday Times that students
with tents, banners and placards occupied the
15th-century quad of St John’s College, Oxford
on Wednesday, 29th January. They said they
wouldn’t leave until the college agreed to sell
its shares in those prolific producers of
hydrocarbons, BP and Shell. The College is very
rich. It was reported at the time in two student
newspapers, but not it seems elsewhere.
Dominic Lawson is a columnist for the Sunday Times and a climate change sceptic. He is also a Brexiteer, although his father, Nigel Lawson, a former Conservative Chancellor with similar views to his son, has lived in France for many years. So people I don’t really take very seriously. On this occasion, however, I have some sympathy with the conclusion which Dominic draws from what happened. It seems that on the day of their occupation, the protesters e-mailed Professor Andrew Parker (an eminent research scientist and the principal bursar) to demand a meeting to address their demands. These were that St John’s “declares a climate emergency and immediately divests from fossil fuels”. His answer was not what they expected. “I am not able to arrange any divestment at short notice,” he wrote. “But I can arrange for the gas central heating in college to be switched off with immediate effect. Please let me know if you support this proposal.”.....(continue) |
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| Discontent
with democracy 4 February 2020 |
Going shopping for clothes for Heather in France can be an interesting experience. Not only is there the consideration of what would suit her but, from the numerous items of different sizes picked from the rails, there is then the need to narrow down the choice by trying them on. By Heather that is, not me. During these lengthy periods, there is usually a shop assistant standing by waiting for the verdict and, of course, ready to say how good it looks or, if that ploy is unsuccessful, to suggest alternatives. Standing with the assistant outside the changing room in silence during all of this is a little embarrassing, and so I generally try to engage in some sort of conversation. It normally starts with something quite innocuous, but can then take various twists and turns. And so this last week I have ended up discussing Brexit, which the French find completely incomprehensible, the pension reforms being imposed by the French government as compared to our system, the 35 hour week, where to buy the best fruit and vegetables (‘Le Grand Frais’ at Seynod) and which is the best cheese shop in town – confirmed to be the Fromagerie Gay...(continue) | |||
| Decision
making for the long term 20 January 2020 |
We quickly learn that short-term decision making, our day to day decisions, are the most important for us. If we ignore them or get them wrong then they soon come back to bite us. They have an immediate effect on our lives. And so we tend to concentrate on them. There are though many aspects of our lives which we don’t immediately even recognise as decisions in the same sense, even though they are. Many aspects of our lives - dress, speech or tattoos - which we adopt consciously or unconsciously, are used to determine what part of society we belong to. An even less likely piece of behaviour, altruism, is part of this same group. Acting altruistically always used to be thought of as an example of acting out of goodness, a genuine wish to help others with no thought of a return, something of the moment – and so a short term decision. Of course there were always some cads - very much frowned upon by society - who would pretend to be helpful in order to worm their way into someone’s affections. I imagine in fact that most people would still explain altruism in these terms, even though we know from lots of research on us and other animals, and our own common sense, that it is far from true...(continue) | |||
| Anthropomorphism,
imagination and creativity 12 January 2020 |
As human beings, we seem to have a tendency to attribute human characteristics to inanimate objects and imaginary beings. Ancient civilizations were well aware of this strange habit of human psychology. Xenophanes invented the word "anthropomorphism" 2,600 years ago. He realized that people worshipped gods that looked like them - the Greeks had white gods, while the Ethiopian gods were darker. From this observation he predicted that if horses and donkeys believed in God, their god would trot on all fours. He may have been right. Some time ago, primatologists documented a type of behaviour among chimpanzees, called 'the rain dance': when a storm begins, sometimes they climb a tree, then they tear out its branches and brandish them while they cry out to the clouds - as if they were facing a male rival. It seems to be a kind of 'chimpomorphism' about the storm. They shake their branches at the alpha male they assume to be throwing flashes from the sky...(continue) | |||
| Philosophical
belief and veganism 5 January 2020 |
The
world has apparently gone mad. Alright it’s
continued with its madness. We now have not only
crazy religions, but crazy non-religious
‘Philosophical Beliefs’, given the benefit of
protected characteristics under the Equality Act
2010 by a Court in the UK. Jordi Casamitjana, a zoologist by training, with a speciality in wasps, is someone who refuses even to travel on buses as they are likely to kill insects. Obviously he travels on buses which go faster than the ones I’ve been on. As we know, a vegan is someone who does not eat or use animal products. People may choose for supposed health purposes simply to follow a vegan, and so exclusively plant-based diet. They would therefore exclude all meat, fish dairy and eggs from their consumption. But self-described ‘ethical vegans’ go further and try to exclude all forms of animal exploitation from their lifestyle...(continue) |
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| 2020
- The next decade 31 December 2019 |
Traditionally,
we mark the end of one decade and the beginning
of another by reflecting on what has happened in
the past and what is likely to change in the
next 10 years. We might even celebrate the
change. Well, quite a lot has happened in the
period since 2010 dawned. The year 2008 had seen
the financial crash brought on by recklessness
in the banks. And so the end of the first decade
of this century was taken up with attempts to
prevent the banks’ foolishness from affecting
the lives of ordinary people. It was not though
something easily achieved and so the aftermath
of the crash continued well into the next
decade.
Indeed, it continued until 2019. We were told that austerity was the key to our survival and that public expenditure had to be cut, and cut quite savagely in some areas. Which, of course, had an effect on the lives of those same ordinary citizens, if not on those of the billionaire bankers who had caused the problems in the first place. And so the decade we have just lived through did not start well. Neither did it end well, bearing in mind the upheaval caused by David Cameron’s decision to hold a Brexit referendum which he, and so we, lost. But what now?...(continue) |
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| Brexit and
the General Election - December 12, 2019 |
My Blog during the run up to the December 12, 2019 general election. | |||
| Trust 25 November 2020 |
The other evening we were watching a
nature programme narrated by the real monarch of
our isles, Sir David Attenborough, the person we
all trust to tell it like it is. As it
happened, it concerned somewhere called
Australia, a land mass cut off from all the
other continents since before the time when the
dinosaurs died out. As a result, the
animals which took over when the dinosaurs
departed this world were rather different to the
animals with which we are familiar on the other
landmasses of our globe. They became even
more different because of the working of
evolution over the last few million years,
mainly as a result of the fact that Australia
has gradually moved from the colder South to
nearer the equator....(continue) |
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| World Trade Organisation 13 November 2019 |
OK, so the
World Trade Organisation may not seem very
relevant to our everyday lives, but stay with
me. We are
told that a no-deal Brexit would be on WTO
terms. Indeed, should Boris win an
actual majority in this election, it will
include many Conservative MPs who would
actually favour a no-deal Brexit, and so on
WTO terms, rather than even contemplate
extending the one-year transition period his
agreement allows for negotiation of a
bi-lateral agreement with the EU.
But unless something seismic happens, then the WTO will cease to be a functioning organisation on 10th December - in just one month's time....(continue) |
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| Making
up perfection 10 November 2019 |
Perfection is something which is never actually achieved in real life. I was put in mind of this a little while ago when we went to a concert at Symphony Hall in Birmingham. It included Saen-Saens' second piano concerto. We have it on disc. In fact we have two different recordings of it. I like them both and have listened to them quite often. So often, that when I heard it played live, I was only too aware of a few wrong notes. It was not that it was cacophonous or played badly. I think that if I had not been so familiar with the recordings of it I wouldn't even have noticed. The point is that the versions on disc are highly edited and not a single wrong note is allowed to remain....(continue) | |||
| Remembrance 6 November 2019 |
On
Sunday, the Anglican church at Coleshill will be
unusually close to capacity or even perhaps
completely full. And of course the reason is that
it is Remembrance Day. There are local and
national remembrance ceremonies at which
dignitaries take part and where we, as a nation,
remember the victims of the last two wars
regardless of our personal involvement or not in
them. In Coleshill, the Town Band will take
part with the usual mix of tunes used for this
occasion and of course all the Town Councillors,
members of the Servicemen’s associations and
generally the great and good of Coleshill will be
in attendance to lay poppy wreaths on the war
memorial outside the Church. Even Heather and I
will be there, with a poppy wreath to lay on
behalf of the Twinning Association. Other countries, with other histories remember their war dead at different times and in different ways. But it is something which virtually every country does. Of course, in some countries, major conflicts relate not so much to wars with other states, but to civil wars of various kinds, whether to try to achieve independence or to try to get rid of a dictator, such as in Spain. In these circumstances, how or whether to celebrate can be quite contentious....(continue) |
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| Eugenics 12 October 2019 |
The BBC4 documentary in October this year on the subject of eugenics was very informative, Eugenics was proposed as a system of improving the ‘quality’ of the human species. Over the millennia, dog, pigeon and plant breeders had taken major steps, by cross-breeding, to select for desirable traits in their subjects. It meant that not only could homing pigeons fly home from greater distances, but that plants could become more productive of the food we need to survive. Dogs, well, it seems that you can never have enough different sorts to appeal to their devoted ‘owners’. When it comes to humans, however, it all becomes a little more difficult....(continue) | |||
| Speciesism 28 August 2019 |
...
We now have ‘Speciesism’ being compared to racism,
sexism and fascism. Speciesism, the
doctrine hated by vegans, was
described in a book called
‘Animal Liberation' (1975) by an
Australian philosopher, Peter Singer. He defined
it as ‘a prejudice or bias in favour of the
interests of members of one's own species and
against those of members of other species.’
People who oppose speciesism say that giving human
beings greater rights than non-human animals is as
arbitrary (and as morally wrong) as giving white
people greater rights than non-white people.
As always, there is a fundamental confusion in the
Olympian pronouncements of the Animal Rights
fraternity even though, or perhaps because, based
on a book written by a philosopher. They assume
that morality can be justified and understood as
part of a carefully constructed rational
framework, instead of its being simply the outcome
of evolutionary pressure which we then, for
psychological reasons, try to justify
rationally....(continue) |
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| Decisions,
decisions 7 October 2019 |
The other day, some research was
published which showed that mice, faced with
choosing between two identical (tasty) rewards,
took longer to start eating than where there was
only one such reward. It took them time to
decide. Who’d have thought it? In fact, we all
know that it's difficult to make decisions of
this sort. To choose between chocolate cake or
lemon meringue pie is not an easy thing for
me. The equality of desire makes the
choice very difficult and time-consuming, even
when the outcome of the choice is not, at least
to an outsider, very important. But if there are
in fact things in life which are more important
than dessert then, surely, we would make choices
about them based on a rational consideration of
the benefits and disadvantages for our
lives? Well maybe not...(continue) |
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| The
precautionary principle, bananas and pigs 21 August 2019 |
...
The fruit and vegetables which we now eat look and
taste very different to those our ancestors ate.
Over the centuries, by hybridisation of the
various varieties, plant breeders have succeeded
in making fruit and vegetables which are far more
resistant to disease, grow much better and,
sometimes, even have a better taste. All
this is by means of genetic manipulation. But this
has been ‘natural’ genetic manipulation, perceived
to be carried out by ‘gardeners’ wearing gardening
gloves, rather than scientists in white coats
using CRISPR gene editing. Of course the end
result is the same, it’s just that the ‘natural’
variant is not subject to checks to see if it
affects our health in the long term, whereas the
genetically modified variants are. Except in
Europe, where they are banned because of the
precautionary principle. So
what is the precautionary principle?...(continue) |
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| The Silly
Season 14 August 2019 |
Every
year, when the MPs go off to the seaside with
their buckets and spades, we seem to enter a
season when nothing much of importance happens, or
at least is reported by the newspapers. Instead,
the sorts of stories which might normally only
make it on to page 15 find a place on the front
page. This year seems to be no
exception. We have had the reported death of
‘Grumpy Cat’, a cat famous on the net for looking,
well, grumpy. The world mourned. There were
the discoveries in New Zealand of 30 million year
old fossils of 4 metre high emus and of penguins
the height of a human. There was then the
declaration by someone who has recently married an
actress that they are going to have at most two
children in order to minimise their impact on the
environment. The proposed changes to the rest of
their somewhat lavish lifestyle and their use of
private jets seem not to have been reported...(continue) |
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| Words
we may not use 29 July 2019 |
The English language tsar, Jacob William Rees-Mogg esquire, has spoken and told us what we may and may not say. We may not use words such as ‘very’, ‘unacceptable’ ‘lot’ (we don’t know which meaning is proscribed – a large quantity, destiny, something put up for auction, a film set etc), ‘ascertain’, ‘disappointment’, ‘speculate’, and ‘equal’. Now for a multi-millionaire Conservative M.P. I can see that the word ‘equal’ may be an unacceptable (oops) socialist concept. I suppose that a lot of his clients would not want to be reminded that to speculate is the essence of the business of which he was CEO, a fund management firm, Somerset Capital Management. He is still a partner in the business. They would not wish to have the disappointment of learning that the firm which he co-founded necessarily follows an investment strategy based on speculation...(continue) | |||
| The
power of positive thinking and a can-do attitude 26 July 2019 |
It
seems that our new PM (the Piffle Minister)
believes that a can-do attitude and positivity
will gain us the prize of a deal with the EU
without the need for an Irish backstop. I’m
sure that he’s right, as he is with so many other
things, such as figures on the sides of buses and
the source of the regulations governing the
sending of kippers through the post. But what I wanted to think about was the power of positive thinking. Every so often in the past century there has been a self-help book which has caught the public imagination and sold in millions...(continue) |
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| An
excess of Human Rights? 18 July 2019 |
On Wednesday this week I happened to hear ‘Thought for the Day’. It is part of the Today programme but, when I hear it come on, I generally find something else to listen to as it is normally too full of platitudes. On this occasion, however, the speaker was not a Bishop, but a Parliamentary lawyer, Daniel Greenberg, and so I decided to give it a go. He said that Article 2 of the 1st Protocol to the ECHR, which makes a right to education a human right, also provides that the State must "respect the right of parents to ensure that the education of children is in conformity with the religious and philosophical conviction of the parents". (continue) | |||
| Honesty,
Wallets and Humanism 10 July 2019 |
A research paper appearing at the
beginning of July this year in the American
Academy of Science magazine, a
magazine called, with creative flair,
‘Science’, reports an international
experiment into our honesty. It
says in the introduction:
...
Psychological models based on self-image
maintenance, however, predict that people
will cheat for profit but only so long as
their behaviour does not require them to
negatively update their self-concept.
However, it is unclear, without evidence,
whether self-image concerns will become more
or less important as the incentives for
dishonesty increase and also what form that
relationship will take.
In other words, even if I will not be caught, does being able to continue to think of myself as an upright citizen, and not a thief, outweigh the benefit of nicking the cash? (continue) |
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| The influence and effects of CO2 25 June 2019 |
The other day we were on our way to a recycling centre which, ironically, is not accessible by public transport. On the motorway we overtook a lorry. On its side it advertised the fact that it was delivering the sort of oil we use in our cars, made, or perhaps I should say refined, by BP. After the problems encountered by the Sackler family in giving away money in sponsorship of the arts, we now have Sir Mark Rylance bringing to an end 30 years of involvement with the Royal Shakespeare Company because of its continued sponsorship by BP. Sir Mark’s involvement with the RSC was in any event rather strange as he considers that the works attributed to Shakespeare were in fact written by another knight, Sir Francis Bacon. But although BP subsidises tickets for the under 25’s, he is concerned that BP in its day job is also one of the main ‘sponsors’ of global warming. He finds this unacceptable...(continue) | |||
| Populism 14 May 2019 |
We have just witnessed an unusual event. The Emperor of Japan has abdicated and his son has taken over the role. The outgoing Emperor and his son are of course descendants of the Japanese Sun God and so are deities in their own rights. Even though Japan is a society which depends on industry and technology for its position as one of the richest nations on earth, evidently they have a regard for the traditions of the past, as their ceremonies, little-changed over the centuries, still invoke the god-like status of their rulers. But the royal family has changed. Emperor Hirohito, in power during the second world war, was a strong supporter of Japanese aggression, encouraging a form of extreme populist nationalism which resulted in an early version of suicide bombers and brutal treatment of prisoners of war. His son Akihito is a pacifist, as is probably his grand-son, the new emperor, Naruhito. The just-abdicated Emperor is very much respected by his people for his efforts in changing the attitude of his country from that of populist hostility to the outside world to that of friendship...(continue) | |||
| The proceeds
of slavery 5 May 2019 |
Cambridge University has announced an inquiry into the way it benefited from the slave trade. It seems that those who have profited from injustice should compensate their victims even unto the seventh generation. After the Second World War, Germany was called upon to restore stolen property to its owners or compensate them for its loss. The identities of the Jewish families wronged, the Nazi wrongdoers and the relationship between original victims and surviving family members, were all the subject of good evidence. The loss claimed for was quantifiable. Compensation made sense. As time passes, however, the connection between the descendants of the wrongdoer and wronged becomes more tenuous. I’m not sure how any individual descendant of a slave could show a justifiable claim to compensation from any particular person or institution at this stage. More recent events, good or ill, occurring well after the abolition of enslavement will have had a major effect on peoples’ lives making them richer or poorer and so will have made any serious attempt to show an individual’s right to compensation for the enslavement to be impossible...(continue) | |||
| Philanthropy 28 March 2019 |
I was fascinated to read a 4 page spread in Hello! about Ariana Rockefeller, the well-known philanthropist and heiress of the immensely rich Rockefeller family. It took a while for the garage to balance my new tyres and I’d finished the Daily Mail provided in the reception area. In the profile she told the reporter how important a work ethic was to her, something which she’d learned from her family, and how much time she spent dealing with her philanthropic organisations. When in New York, she lives not in her own house or apartment, but in a huge suite at the Mark Hotel - “the most boldly lavish hotel in New York City”. She is quoted as saying: “They make my favourite cocktail as soon as I walk into the bar. They save my favourite table in the restaurant for me. They do everything for me. You can’t put a price on that.” The $57,000 a night apparently charged for the penthouse suite by the Mark may be a clue as to how the system functions. Poor little rich girl; nice to be cosseted for love, not money....(continue) | |||
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27 February 2019 |
I have never thought that what
the world really needed was another Paul
Buckingham. I have always thought that one
was more than enough. I am conscious,
though, that I am in a minority when it comes to
being (or not) family-orientated. Although
families aren’t generally as big as they were,
there is still a desire to produce a Mini-me or
two. From my rather selfish point of view, that
is a good thing as, hopefully, when I am
exceedingly old there will be younger people
around who will be able to look after me – for a
fee of course. Although a family in the UK tends on average to have just under two children, there are of course exceptions. The super-rich seem to have numerous children, rather like the potentates of old. And then of course, at the other end of the income scale, there is the perception that people on benefits have lots of children. This appears to be such a problem that the Universal Credit System will not make any additional payment to parents in respect of a 3rd or subsequent child born from now on...(continue) |
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| Conspiracy
theories
- the business model. 25 February 2019 |
What is really happening in the world? Of course, for enlightenment, we cannot depend on the traditional press and their fake news. Our friend Mr Trump tells us that all the newspapers and media outlets (apart from Fox News) are in the pockets of the super-rich and, obviously, these billionaires have their own agenda. This is even more clear now when, thanks to the internet, we know that the super-rich are a part of the 'deep state', the group of characters that truly control the world - also known as the "Illuminati". There are those who pour scorn on such an idea. Fortunately though, there are others ready to defend the truth about this state within a state...(continue) | |||
| Pseuds Corner 7 February 2019 |
In the
satirical magazine Private Eye there is a column
called ‘Pseuds Corner' which pokes fun at
pretentiousness in the arts and the media. There
have been such gems as Sir Paul McCartney's poem
-
"We (women)
are just as obsessed and infatuated as men. We
love music just as hard. It's just that we don't
exhibit that obsession, that love, through an
alphabetised record collection. You want to know
how I store my records? I put the ones next to
each other that I think would be friends. I
suppose that you could call that
emotional; I call it
womanly." (continue) |
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| How
to spend the Science budget 21 January 2019 |
It seems that
CERN's Large Hadron Collider (LHC), just outside
Geneva, is not large enough. When it was
constructed, with its 28 km circumference
tunnel, it was designed to be big enough to find
out whether or not the Higgs boson existed. This
had been predicted to exist, as theory said that
it was the particle needed to give mass to all
the other sub-atomic particles. No, I have no
idea either. Where we once just had protons,
electrons and neutrons, we now have a menagerie
of particles. They came into view when
physicists started to fire the particles they
knew about at each other to see what happened.
The LHC is the latest and most powerful version
of the technology used for the task...(continue)
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| Sovereignty 1 January 2019 |
It seems that
the concept of sovereignty is very much to the
fore amongst Brexiteers. Apparently they are
determined we should regain it. It seems it has
not been available to us since we joined the
EEC/EU. If I’m honest about it though,
it’s not something I'd thought about very much
over the years. Indeed, as a concept, it seems
to me to relate more to the time when we had
kings and queens, colonies and outposts of
empire – a time when we had actual sovereigns
and ruled a large part of the globe. An
exception, Oliver Cromwell, who did for Charles
I and became “The Lord Protector”, was regarded
merely as a dictator, rather than a sovereign
because he was not of kingly lineage. He did in
fact try to create a lineage. The army wanted
him to ensure a succession and so he nominated
as his successor as Lord Protector his eldest
surviving son, Richard Cromwell. Richard,
however, rather unwisely reduced the amount of
money going to the army and so the army decided
it was time to go back to real kings instead. But any
sovereign worthy of the name was, by
definition, a dictator. And as we
can now see, there is no such thing as a
kingly lineage, just children who have
succeeded in taking over from their
parents as the dictator of the moment. The
‘royal line’ has in fact been a succession
of ‘royal lines’ over the millennia....
(continue)
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| A Christmas
Story 23 December 2018 |
It had been a restless night, and suddenly I awoke with a feeling of premonition. At that moment, the radio came on and the sonorous chimes of Big Ben could be heard, as if portending something of great moment. As they stopped, the Radio 4 newsreader began the midnight news-bulletin with words which shook me to the core. She said “the Government has decided that Mr Paul Buckingham, the well-known philosopher of Coleshill, someone generally accepted to be a person of great wisdom, has been given the responsibility of deciding whether or not the concept of Father Christmas should be abolished. He will announce his decision in 24 hours time.”. I was at first utterly at a loss to know what to do, but then, having decided that I should accept this responsibility in the national interest, I started to think over the questions which it raised.. (continue) | |||
| Referendums 19 November 2018 |
It
is
generally accepted that the idea of democracy
originated in the city of Athens. I am not
convinced that this is true, however. There
are, even now, some tribes found in remote forests
that work by consensus - i.e. democratically -
rather than being subject to the diktat of a
leader or a group of "potentates", and there's no
reason to think that this is a modern
phenomenon. But we can, I suppose, accept
that the Athenians were the first occupants of a
city to adopt such a system. There was, however, a
recurring anxiety for the Athenians: were the
people in fact hopeless at making decisions,
incapable of intelligent consideration? Were they
instead all too easily influenced by spurious
arguments and manipulated by unscrupulous
rhetoricians hungry for power? After all, Boris is not a
new phenomenon...(continue) |
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| The Perils of
Perception 27 November 2018 |
... In principle this approach - theory, experiments, modification of the theory and ... repeat - can be used not only in science but also in other spheres of life. The difficulty, however, is that we have preconceived ideas of how the political world works and how it should work. This difficulty exists in the fact that our prejudices have the status of a religion (in the broadest sense) and therefore prevent us from wanting to challenge them or to believe the results of each "experiment", or detailed investigation of what happened in the past, that would indicate something contrary to our prejudices. We say that everyone has the right to believe in what he wants to believe and therefore there is no real motivation, as in science, to correct our mistakes. We admire those who stick to their beliefs or their principles and criticize those who are without principles....(continue) | |||
| Self-driving
cars
and morality 4 November 2018 |
... The New Scientist article gives the example of an autonomous car travelling along a road when its brakes fail. Should it carry straight on and hit a pregnant woman, a doctor and a criminal on a pedestrian crossing, or swerve into a barrier so avoiding the people on the crossing, but instead killing all the occupants of the self-driving car, a family of four? This, the article tells us, is the kind of scenario included in the 'Moral Machine’ experiment, a survey on the internet of millions of people in 233 countries and territories worldwide, the results of which were published on 24th October in the much-respected science journal Nature. Participants were asked to consider different scenarios in which those saved by the car’s decision might be, for example, fat or fit, young or old, pets or criminals or those with important jobs. In total, 40 million decisions in 10 languages were collected. So, an impressive gathering of data. ... (continue) | |||
| Political agitation and violence | ... But the question of civil disobedience continues to be important. The film "Suffragette" encourages its audience in thinking that civil disobedience is justified because it produces a just end. Obviously, now, the vast majority of people accept that women are as intelligent and as capable of making rational decisions as men (which doesn't say much!). Giving them the right to vote, therefore, is seen as a fair and just outcome. But in the past? Before the changes in the 20th century, the vast majority (including most women) would have thought otherwise. Why? Because it was received wisdom. It was only in the light of the obvious evidence of their true abilities that 'received wisdom' was brought into question. And so finally there was a general acceptance that the 'wisdom' of centuries made no sense. But it had been a realisation that came in parallel with the realisation that the right to vote should not be limited just to land-owners either. Therefore there was a general evolution in the thinking of that era. Now it seems to me that for somebody of a contrary opinion, violence is not a convincing argument...(continue) | |||
| Brexit - conservative and
liberal thought 10 October 2018 |
....
But. But it seems to me that there is now a
political situation in which conservatives
from all sides of the political spectrum are
in a position to triumph, and this in a very
costly way. I am talking, of course, about
Brexit and the possibility of a Brexit without
agreement or a Brexit 'Lite' agreement. The
history of the European Union and the United
Kingdom has been very fractious. Political
parties have adopted various policies at
various times. Churchill and the Americans,
after the second war, encouraged the formation
in 1950 of the Coal & Steel Community.
This was of course an attempt to encourage
commerce, but not only to promote economic
growth. It was also intended to decrease the
likelihood of another war. Churchill did not
see the need for us to be part of this group.
We had the 'Commonwealth' to trade with...(continue)
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| Identity
politics and "The end of history" 3 October 2018 |
Francis Fukuyama has written another book, to be published in October this year (2018). In one of his previous books, the much discussed "The End of History and the Last Man", Fukuyama saw the end of the Cold War and the fall of the Berlin Wall as the end of ideological conflict in the world. He said that Western liberal democracy was the final ideological phase of human evolution. Democracy had won. A courageous belief. He warned us in the book, however, that he may have overestimated the ability of liberal democracy to provide peace and personal satisfaction. He says in "Identity: The Demand for Dignity and the Politics of Resentment" that we can now see that this expression of uncertainty was necessary. He has decided that the main difficulty we have is the perception among people that peace and relative prosperity, which normally accompany liberal democracy, are not sufficient. People also want dignity; recognition of their personal difficulties. The absence of this recognition creates resentment. And so we come to the politics of identity so common today. His new book apparently describes the difficulties we have as a result....(continue) | |||
| Artificial
Intelligence 14 September 2018 |
... now, we have emerged from the impasse, because scientists have taken the next step - the neural network. They have simulated our brain’s neural structure in order to allow a computer to learn from first principles how something functions or the essence of a collection of things. From the information furnished, the network is capable of deriving common factors, just as we and our brains do. They can then apply this knowledge to situations which were not included in the original examples. For example, given thousands of photos of lots of different varieties of dogs and cats, all labelled correctly, the network can distinguish dogs from cats in other unlabelled photos with a very high success rate. We have seen though that they can be used for other more useful things. They can identify cancer cells, or identify the changes at cellular level which will result in blindness if not diagnosed very early. Often, it is not obvious how the network has arrived at its conclusion. Thus, these networks give the impression of an actual intelligence, rather than the traditional computer which we know to be incapable of freeing itself from the bounds of its prescriptive software. Although we are only at the beginning of this new approach, we are even now seeing notable results.... (continue) | |||
| The polluter should
pay - quite a lot 21 August 2018 |
There
is an island off the coast of Virginia, USA. It
has the unlikely name of Tangier. Almost
100% of the
inhabitants are descendants of immigrants
who came mainly from Cornwall in the eighteenth
century. They speak a form of English that,
according to some, still reflects its ancient
origins. In the sense that they don't need a
policeman or locks on their doors it is a kind of
utopia - albeit at the price of not having alcohol
for sale on the island! They are religious
fundamentalists. The island is quite small, with an area of only 3.2 square kilometres. There was a population of 727 people in 2010, which has now decreased to only 460, and it's population is getting older, in view of the difficulty young people have in finding a job on the crab fishing boats. But the main difficulty for the island is that it now has a maximum height of one and a half meters above sea level. It has already lost at least half of its surface area to the sea over the years, and the risk of global warming to its existence is obvious. But not to them. They believe that it is not a matter of rising sea levels, but of coastal erosion. They don't accept the science relating to climate change. For this reason they propose a stone wall around what remains of the island. But not too high - they don’t want to disturb their view...(continue) |
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| Evolution, politics
and democracy 22 March 2018 |
Having lived for the vast majority
of our existence as a species under a system
of government which depended on a chief of
some type – a tribal chief, a king or a
dictator – we live now in an era in which
democracy is the most widespread political
system. It seems to have taken over. I am
though concerned about its longevity and how
firmly rooted it is. It is worth noting that the
original UN constitution made no reference
to democracy until the fall of the Berlin
Wall and the end of the cold war. It was
only in 1999 that the UN’s Universal
Declaration of the Rights of Man was
modified to include:
“the right to full
participation and other fundamental
democratic rights and other liberties
inherent in any democratic society.”
The result?
Almost every government now proclaims itself
to be a democracy. This is hypocrisy for many,
but they think that they ought to pretend
because it is the preferred international
model. They can often lie with impunity
because it is difficult to show that a country
is not in fact a democracy....(continue)
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| Privacy - Sir Cliff Richard v BBC |
The High Court has now issued its judgement in the case of Sir Cliff Richard v BBC. Sir Cliff was suing for damages for breach of privacy. He had already received a payment of £400,000 from the South Yorkshire Police who had revealed to the BBC in 2014 that they were going to search his penthouse in a gated development in Berkshire. The BBC turned out in force to cover the search, complete with a helicopter filming overhead. It was on the TV on all channels throughout the day and in the press, both here and abroad, for a long time afterwards....(continue) | |||
| Sport - World Cup
2018 |
On the terrace of the apartment in France where I am writing this, I can hear the horns of the cars being driven into town in advance of the World Cup Final. It’s between France and Croatia this afternoon. We’re almost alone in the building here in Annecy. I imagine that our neighbours are in the bars, the hotels or the piazzas (where big screens have been put up) in order to watch the game with others who share the same passion. At the restaurant where we had lunch today, even while we were having our dessert, the restaurant itself was being prepared around us to receive a hundred or so supporters for the match, with supplies of beer and a huge screen – obviously all that was necessary for a match. Sport is, of course, principally a group activity. Obviously there are the other participants necessary for an activity which is inherently competitive in nature. But there aren’t many participants who would take part without a public, small or large, to cheer for them. In England, there were around 25 million watching the TV during the England - Croatia semi-final, each one at the final whistle in a state of nervous exhaustion...(continue) | |||
| Take the Train - railway time and execution excursions | I’m not really into trains, but a little while ago there was a programme on BBC4 concerning the story of the train and its effect on all our lives. I found it unexpectedly fascinating. When I think of a train, I think of a timetable. It’s difficult to manage a rail system without one. Overtaking is rather difficult because all the trains depend on the same railway tracks. In fact this limitation was at the root of the standardisation of time across the nation. Initially it was known as ‘Railway Time’ a concept introduced by Great Western Railways in 1849. It was the first recorded example of the standardisation of local time and it spread throughout the entire rail system in that year....(continue) | |||
| Definitions
and Transsexuality 23 January 2018 |
It seems that transsexuality is now a particularly delicate subject. There is a determination by a vociferous part of the transsexual community to be seen simply as women, even though they are not, whether genetically or by their experience of life. But these distinctions are not apparently important. We now have various self-proclaimed spokespeople for the movement. They insist that we recognise as women every person who self-identifies as a woman. And this regardless of their genes, their secondary sexual characteristics or even if they have decided to live in any real sense as a woman. Thus after or before a transition and with or without the intention to make a transition. And this self-identification is apparently to be for all purposes. Obviously this is something which produces a series of difficulties....(continue) | |||
| Asymmetric relationships | When parents produce a child there is from the beginning, and for very many years, an asymmetry in their relationship. Normally the parents provide everything which is necessary until the time when the adult can maintain himself. Exactly when this moment will arrive is very variable. In England, although we have a problem relating to affordable housing, there is a tendency amongst the young to fly the nest as soon as they can, something not necessarily replicated in other countries, like France and Italy. The difference can be explained in part, at least, by the law. Here in the UK, responsibility for a child finishes at the age of 18. In other countries, where the law is based on the Napoleonic Code, it is more generous. In 2016, an Italian court decided that a father should continue to be responsible for the maintenance of his son (a ‘child’ of 28) until he had finished his doctorate in, I think, sociology. But it is not totally asymmetric because, in those countries, the children are legally obliged to maintain their parents...(continue) | |||
| Poverty
& inequality - a local TED talk giving the
French perspective |
...And so I chose the video of the talk recorded at the TED conference in the Haute Savoie supporting the idea of universal Income, in the hope that I would at last find something convincing in the argument. The person giving the talk asked us to keep in mind the importance of the number 9 – apparently wealth in France is held as to 90% by the 10% of the people at the top and the remaining 10% of the wealth is in the hands of the other 90% of the population. He continued on the same theme, with 9% unemployment in France and the 9 million who live in poverty. To solve all these problems and several others, he said that the answer was Universal Income. I wasn’t convinced by his arguments as to the solution or of his explanation of the problems.....(continue) | |||
| "I
was here before you" - some thoughts on
patriotism 13 February 2018 |
You hear this in the play area and elsewhere where kids want to stake out their territories. Taken literally, it’s simply a statement of fact, but it brings with it a claim to the right to be there to the exclusion of everyone else. I don’t know why the fact of being there gives a right to exclude others. There’s no obvious logic to it, but it seems to be a common conception. And it’s not confined to kids. The very idea of a queue depends on the same principle and, in view of our reputation for queuing, we can say that we British must be very territorial. On the other hand, we teach our kids to be courteous, to say “No after you, I insist”. So then, to maintain at all costs our position in a queue seems to be a bit inconsistent....(continue) | |||
| Brexit - why
the Germans are unlikely to cut us any slack |
Following the decision to leave the
EU and agreement on the so-called divorce
settlement, the question now is the terms upon
which we will be able to continue to trade
with our former European partners. The
Brexiteers have told us that the EU countries
will be eager to do a deal with us in view of
the fact that we import more from them than
they import from us. This they say applies
especially to Germany which exports so many of
its cars to us.
But since the vote, Germany has
consistently told us that when Britain leaves
the EU access to the single market for trade
will be restricted unless the UK both accepts
the four freedoms which underpin the whole
concept of the Single Market and also makes a
financial contribution to the EU....(continue)
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| Brexit - the divorce
settlement |
... and so with the conclusion of this agreement, we now know quite clearly that: Goods & services a. We're
definitely leaving the Customs Union and the
Single Market and so can adopt any regulatory
framework we like; and
b. Unless the Irish government and the Northern Ireland Assembly agree otherwise. we're going to maintain alignment (i.e. comply) with all the regulations required for membership of the Customs Union and the Single Market. And, of course, there is no Northern Ireland Assembly at the moment to give its agreement. Just MLAs being paid to kick their heels. ...
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| Memes, Dodos & Donald Trump | That
ideas
spread is not a new insight. But it was given new
impetus in 1976 by Richard Dawkins’ book ‘The
Selfish Gene’. In this, he coined the word ‘meme’
which he defined as "an idea, behaviour, or style
that spreads from person to person within a
culture". He saw it as analogous to a gene and so
subject to the same evolutionary pressures as
them. In particular, he said that they were
subject to natural selection based on their
fitness to survive. Now, as we know, fitness to
survive in organisms is not a quality which is
easy to recognise in advance. There are so many
variables that we normally take the easy path and
simply recognise that such fitness must have
existed in those organisms which have in fact
survived. And so it is with memes. Who would have thought that gin would becomes so popular again? Gin was known as “mother’s ruin” in the 18th and 19th centuries, the preferred drink at golf clubs and amongst the upper middle classes in the 20th century and increasingly out of fashion in the 21st century. But since 2010 it has had a resurgence with the production of a swathe of craft gins popular with hipsters. Apparently the effect is a result of the influence of one part Downton Abbey and one part James Bond - shaken not stirred....(continue) |
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| "The past is a different country, they do things differently there” | In his novel “The Go-between”, Leslie P Hartley wrote: “the past is a different country; they do things differently there”. I don’t know anyone who has read his book, but this phrase has become very well known – because it tells us a truth. Our morality has changed very much, not just over the course of millennia or centuries, but even over the last few decades. I’m reminded of this because this year we have seen the homosexual community celebrating the 50th anniversary of the passing of a law to decriminalise the practice of homosexuality in private between consenting adults. But if we look more closely at the effect of this Act of Parliament, we can see in retrospect that 1967 marked only the beginning of a slow change which would take a long time to unfold....(continue) | |||
| Diversity and
Inclusion - a concern |
In the beginning was the Race
Relations Act 1965. It was quite revolutionary
for its time and made unlawful a new category of
behaviour which for millennia had been regarded
as perfectly acceptable - looking after your own
at the expense of the incomer, the foreigner (in
the widest sense). For the first time, the
law banned racial discrimination in public
places. For the first time, also, it made
illegal the encouragement of an emotion - hatred - on the grounds of
“colour, race, or ethnic or national
origins”. Of course, as a moral statement, it
had something of the magician’s ‘smoke and
mirrors’ about it, as controls on immigration
remained. So then we were against
discrimination, but only for those already here
or for the relative few permitted to come here
by our immigration laws. Which meant that
most of the world was in fact kept out of our
newly-benign regime. But although our
new-found morality began and stayed at home, the
Statute was criticised
by some for being little short of the
introduction of ‘thought crime’...(continue)
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| Wealth | Certainly, there are many who argue
that equality is something to be aimed at,
although when you ask people if they really
mean equality
or simply less
inequality, they are likely to choose
the second. Defining how far to take the
lessening of inequality then becomes an
exercise in the measuring of the length of a
piece of string. The concept of
inequality, however, was given fresh impetus
when this year's wealth comparisons were
issued by Oxfam. They told us that the 8
richest people in the world (all men) have
wealth equal in value to the bottom 50% of the
world’s population. Last year it took the top
64 wealthiest people to achieve this rather
strange form of equality. So then the
world is in this sense becoming less
equal. It’s a striking comparison. But
..(continue). |
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| The regulation of information |
I imagine that we are all in favour of freedom. This is something our ancestors fought for and that we keep in mind when deciding who to vote for. But, at the same time, over the centuries, we have agreed to many laws that limit what we can do. There are of course our many criminal laws, but there is also the law of defamation - this penalizes us if we falsely accuse someone-else of doing something naughty. But until quite recently, there was no privacy law in this country. That has changed in our computer age with its ability to spread information around in ways unheard of before: privacy is no longer just a problem for a few individuals, but for millions of people...(continue) | |||
| A somewhat forlorn wish for 2017 | St Paul defined faith or belief, rather poetically, as “the substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things not seen”. Belief is a strange thing. It is an acceptance that something is true even though there is a lack of evidence to support it. Beliefs though are a normal part of our lives. We mostly have faith in our nearest and dearest that they will act in our best interests. We believe that the food we buy will be fit to eat if we consume it before the use-by date. We (most of us) accept that going on a plane is highly likely to get us to our destination in safety, even if the same cannot be said about our luggage. Mainly we base our beliefs on past experience. Indeed, living our lives would be so much harder and time-consuming if we did not rely on our past experience. We would have, somehow, to check everything out from scratch to see if it was safe or advisable. Our reliance on past dealings in fact brings with it a continuity in our actions and thinking. And the world-wide business model depends upon it...(continue) | |||
| How to handle a Brexit | So
now we have a decision of the High Court saying
that the government cannot use the Royal
Prerogative to trigger Article 50. The howls of outrage from the Brexiteers have had to be heard to be believed - how could the Courts possibly justify interfering in the democratic process? Michael Fabricant said in the Commons on the day of the announcement that the decision was 'deplorable'. Did he think that our judges were acting politically or was he saying that his knowledge of the law was so superior to that of our judges that he could be contemptuous of their reasoning? Or was he perhaps alleging that they had been got at in some way? I think we should be told...(continue) |
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| How (not) to become Prime minister | Obviously there are many attributes necessary for becoming the head of a country like the UK. Having self-confidence is a fundamental quality but this needs to be allied with intelligence and the knowledge appropriate to the post. But according to Andrea Leadsom, it is also necessary to be a mother or, perhaps, a father. She complained loudly that the article in the Times was not a true reflection of the interview with the journalist Rachael Sylvester. Fortunately it was recorded and this showed that there was no inaccuracy. Without doubt, Mrs Leadsom’s decision to withdraw from the contest had a number of reasons behind it. Not the least of these was the lack of support amongst the other MPs and the resulting risk of a situation similar to the problem now suffered by the Labour Party – a leader with the support of the members, but with the support of only 20% of her colleagues in parliament. The exaggeration in her CV also played a part, but I am persuaded that the fallout from the interview with the Times played the principle role in her decision...(continue) | |||
| The (dis)United
Kingdom 23 June 2016 |
We were never
unconditional friends of the European Union, but
now our country has decided to engage in
collective self-harm. The majority has decided
to quit the EU with no idea of the consequences.
Having taken the view that Europe has nothing to
offer us and that all the experts and all the
organisations with the knowledge necessary to
inform us of the consequences were liars, they
have voted for an isolationist future. Our Prime
Minister has decided to resign and we will
probably have Boris Johnson as his successor,
someone very popular with his fan base, just
like Donald Trump, and just as much a deceitful
opportunist as Donald Trump...(continue)
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| The end of illness – thank you Facebook! | It seems that as a result of a donation of $3 billion from Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg and his wife, Ms. Chan, we can anticipate the end of disease. To be precise, they say that their goal is "to treat, prevent or manage" all the diseases to which we are subject by the end of the century. They are promising to spend $3 billion - over the next ten years. But last year they said they had decided to bequeath 99% of their fortune (estimated at $55 billion) not to their children, but to charitable purposes able to benefit humanity in general. I suppose therefore that this promise must be taken into account in their grand vision. But since they are not exactly old, we have to hope that they will have a fairly short life expectancy - for the greater good, of course...(continue) | |||
| Anger and the post-truth era | Anger is a strange emotion. It is a reaction to what we perceive as a wrong done to us or to someone for whom we care. Anger wants to inflict some sort of payback, revenge. That this is not always possible or even desirable is something which we have to learn as children and probably then again as adults. Some people are more inclined to feel or show anger than others. Some make a virtue of its control. Others are proud of their unwillingness to control it. Martha Nussbaum, a professor of law and ethics at the University of Chicago, argues that anger makes little sense. She says:...(continue) | |||
| Self-driving cars, accidents and the trolley problem | The trolley problem, a thought experiment, is famous for making us face up to difficult choices. What is proposed is that a heavy trolley is coming along a railway track, at speed, in the direction of a set of points. You can decide to leave things as they are and so just let the trolley carry on, in which case it will kill 6 people who are, by chance, tied to the line. Alternatively, you can switch the points so that the trolley goes down a side line instead. This choice would mean that there would be only one person killed, someone who had the misfortune to be tied to that other line. Most people say that they would send the trolley hurtling down the side line. ...(continue) | |||
| Insults, real or imaginary | We live in a world where racism is a real problem for many people, but I'm not convinced that the attempts to combat it by their self-proclaimed champions always make a lot of sense. For example, it seems that, for an English person to put on a sombrero in a university bar to accompany drinking a tequila is a gross insult to the Mexican nation. It diminishes them. It is an example of micro-aggression which is now unacceptable in civilised society – or at least in a sub-group of that society – the academic community. There are other people, however, who consider that taking the Mickey out of a nation or an individual is not always an act of racism....(continue) | |||
| Populism | Why is it that every so often we have the triumph of a Corbyn or a Tsipras, a Marine Le Pen or a Nigel? What is that they offer which mainstream politicians fail to provide? First of all, we should note the obvious fact that the new pretenders are not all of the same political persuasion. The first two are of course on the far left and the other two are far to the right in standard political language. But whether left or right they each have something which resonates with their audiences. But I would suggest however that it is not the political programme which they propound which wins them their popularity. Obviously their words enshrine their political thoughts, such as they are, but It seems to me that these are a secondary factor. The more important one is the nature of the people to whom they are talking. It seems to me that they all think in the same way. They wish to live in a fairy-tale world....(continue) | |||
| Charlie Hebdo | In the English newspapers, there was a near unanimity of opinion after the massacre at the offices of Charlie Hebdo and then the supermarket, Hyper Cacher. Obviously all the journalists thought that there was a need to support the principle of freedom of expression, the right to offend included, and horror at the attack on the Jews in the supermarket simply because they were Jews. But. But there are many questions raised which don't have an easy answer...(continue) | |||
| A Slippery Slope? |
July 2014 ...But what we see in opposition to the Assisted Dying Bill is the deployment of an argument which I have never understood – "we're on a slippery slope" or “one thing inevitably leads to another”. They predict a free for all, with death upon demand...(continue) |
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| Politics & principles and getting elected |
June 2014
This week, we have seen a prime minister acting out of principle, apparently. He has opposed the appointment of Jean-Claude Juncker as the President of the Commission of the European Union. This was not just for immediate political gain within his party, but because he says that Mr Juncker will take Europe in the wrong direction. He has been a part of the European clique of federalists who have wanted to diminish the identity and importance of individual nations and transfer that power to the centre – to Brussels. It seems that David Cameron sees Mr Juncker as wanting to be a powerful supra-national President, rather than a civil servant helping to serve the individual nations by ensuring that Brussels has the minimum of power needed to enable the EU to act as a successful trading bloc...(continue) |
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| The Nasty Party- Mark 2 |
...it seems that now we have another candidate for the title "the Nasty Party": my favourite cartoon party – UKIP. The MEP Godfrey Bloom said the other day: "How we can possibly be giving £1bn a month, when we're in this sort of debt, to Bongo Bongo Land is completely beyond me. To buy Ray-Ban sunglasses, apartments in Paris, Ferraris and all the rest of it that goes with most of the foreign aid. F18s for Pakistan. We need a new squadron of F18s. Who's got the squadrons? Pakistan, where we send the money.". All the journalists criticised him for his use of the pejorative term 'Bongo Bongo Land', to describe the third world. But opinion was divided on the question of continuing to give foreign aid when we ourselves need to borrow so much to continue to survive as a country...(continue) |
| A Petition |
I was waiting for Heather who was looking for a new handbag in a shop in Annecy. I decided not to be involved. Opposite the shop there was a big catholic church. It's an old church which has been renovated recently at our expense – i.e. the rate payers of Annecy. And so I decided to go in and have a quick look at the inside. As usual in French churches it was a bit dark, but in the shadows I saw a leaflet entitled “One of Us”. It continued:
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| Inertia
- conservative and liberal thought |
Newton's
laws of motion tell us that a body will continue
to travel with the same velocity unless acted on
by another force. That force may accelerate it or
slow it down. But the tendency to carry on in a
straight line is, of course, its inertia. Inertia
is not though confined to the realm of physics.
Economics, too, has its own brand of inertia -
goodwill. Goodwill has been defined as the
likelihood that a customer will return to do
business with you again and again. It is, or ought
to be, a very valuable part of any company’s
balance sheet. But like so many aspects of
economics, we are not here looking at some
abstract mathematical notion. We are looking at
the way that we as human beings act. ... (continue) |
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